and the winner will be (or should be)...

This has been a really busy last couple of months.  It's hard to believe the Oscars are tomorrow night!  This is the first movie season where I really didn't focus much attention on what was going on.  I have however seen most of the movies on the list and have my opinion of who will win and who SHOULD win.  Below is my ballot, feel free to copy and paste this to share your thoughts or your own ballot.

WW = Will Win
SW = Should Win
HS = I haven't seen the movie

Best Picture
"127 Hours"  (HS)
"The Social Network"
"Toy Story 3"
"True Grit"
"Winter’s Bone"
"Black Swan" (SW)
"The Fighter" (HS)
"Inception"
"The Kids Are All Right"
"The King’s Speech" (WW)


Leading Actor

Javier Bardem in "Biutiful"   (HS)
Jeff Bridges in "True Grit"   (HS)
Jesse Eisenberg in "The Social Network"
Colin Firth in "The King’s Speech"   (WW)(SW)
James Franco in "127 Hours"  (HS)

Leading Actress

Annette Bening in "The Kids Are All Right"
Nicole Kidman in "Rabbit Hole"  (HS)
Jennifer Lawrence in "Winter’s Bone"
Natalie Portman in "Black Swan" (WW) (SW)
Michelle Williams in "Blue Valentine" (HS)

Supporting Actor

Christian Bale in "The Fighter"  (HS) (WW)
John Hawkes in "Winter’s Bone"
Jeremy Renner in "The Town"
Mark Ruffalo in "The Kids Are All Right"
Geoffrey Rush in "The King’s Speech" (SW)

Supporting Actress

Amy Adams in "The Fighter"  (HS)
Helena Bonham Carter in "The King’s Speech" (SW)
Melissa Leo in "The Fighter" (HS)  (WW)
Hailee Steinfeld in "True Grit"
Jacki Weaver in "Animal Kingdom"  (HS)

Animated Feature
"How to Train Your Dragon" (HS)
"The Illusionist" (HS)
"Toy Story 3" (WW) (SW)

Art Direction

"Alice in Wonderland"
" Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1"
"Inception" (WW) (SW)
"The King’s Speech"
"True Grit"

Cinematography

"Black Swan"
"Inception" (WW)
"The King’s Speech"
"The Social Network"
"True Grit" (SW)

Costume Design

"Alice in Wonderland"
"I Am Love"   (HS)
"The King’s Speech"  (WW) (SW) 
"The Tempest" (HS)
"True Grit"

Directing

"Black Swan" (SW)
"The Fighter"
"The King’s Speech"
"The Social Network"
"True Grit" (WW)

Film Editing

"Black Swan" (SW)
"The Fighter" (HS)
"The King’s Speech" (WW)
"127 Hours" (HS)
"The Social Network"

Sound Editing

"Inception" (SW)
"Toy Story 3"
"Tron: Legacy" (HS)
"True Grit" (WW)
"Unstoppable" (HS)

Sound Mixing

"Inception"
"The King’s Speech" (SW)
"Salt" (HS)
"The Social Network"
"True Grit" (WW)

Visual Effects

"Alice in Wonderland"
" Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1"
"Hereafter" (HS)
"Inception" (WW) (SW)
"Iron Man 2" (HS)

Adapted Screenplay

"127 Hours"  (HS)
"The Social Network" (SW)
"Toy Story 3"
"True Grit" (WW)
"Winter’s Bone"

Original Screenplay

"Another Year" (HS)
"The Fighter" (HS)
"Inception"
"The Kids Are All Right" (WW)
"The King’s Speech" (SW)

The following categories, I either haven't seen any of the nominees, or I just have less interest in them.  But for the sake of seeing if I can guess right, here are my guessing at who will win.

Foreign Language - Biutiful

Makeup - The Wolfman

Original Score - Inception

Original Song - We Belong Together from "Toy Story 3"

Animated Short Film - The Gruffalo

Live Action Short Film - Wish 143

Documentary Feature - Inside Job

Documentary Short - Sun Comes Up